Odds of hitting a gutshot straight draw. In this hand you have a gutshot straight draw and a flush draw. Odds of hitting a gutshot straight draw

 
In this hand you have a gutshot straight draw and a flush drawOdds of hitting a gutshot straight draw  Calculates

Gutshot Straight. The chances of getting a flush with three cards of one suit are around 4. For someone who also plays a lot of Omaha lately, every percentage matters. 70%: 10. If calling to see only the turn card, it's 0 outs (in the normal sense) because it's a draw to a draw. An inside straight draw, or gutshot draw or belly buster draw, is a hand with four of the five cards needed for a straight, but missing one in the middlea hand with four of the five cards needed for a straight, but missing one in the middleThe gutshot Straight Flush draw and the open-ended Straight Flush draw. The exact odds of hitting a particular winning hand actually depends on the video poker variation you play. 4 times 2 is 8, so you can expect to hit your gutshot 8% of the time by the turn. Hitting trips makes them even better. 5% Whenever you flop an inside straight draw, you have a maximum of four cards to hit. Knowing the odds of hitting certain hands, making draws, and calculating pot odds can help players make better decisions and improve their chances of winning. 73%: Open ended straight flush draw: Straight/Flush: 15: 54. It’s hard to root. A cardinal rule of poker is drawing to a “gutshot straight” (needing one card to fill a run of 5) is a poor bet. What are the odds of hitting a flush with 2 suited cards. If you miss the turn it becomes 18%. 4% chance of coming in on the flop (3. So in this game your chances of making a pair are about 3 / 21 ~ 14. Here are a couple of examples of double-gutter draws: You hold TJ on a board of K-9-7. You raise to 3 big blinds, the small blind folds, and. Two Overcards and a Gutshot Straight Draw: 10 Outs; Flush Draw and One Overcard: 12 Outs; Open-Ended Straight Draw and Two-Card Flush Draw: 15 Outs; Understanding how basic equity and pot odds work with draws are basic fundamentals of poker. The odds of actually making a Straight from a gutshot draw are twice as bad compared to an “open-ended” Straight draw. 2The odds of hitting a gutshot straight are approximately 1 in 11. You raise to 3 big blinds, the small blind folds, and. 6%) Turn River Straight 4. 5% chance of making a straight on the turn and a 16. The player needs a 7 to make his straight. Let’s quickly look at the difference between a big suited connectors, like JTs and a small one like 54s. So you would have played 3,200 initial hands. In the example above, the player has around an 8. 5% of the time. 9:1: Gutshot straight draw: Straight: 8. What are the odds of hitting a gutshot straight draw? If you have a gutshot on the flop, you have an 8. Beware too of someone else drawing to a flush. like when you have an open-ended straight draw and eight outs to complete, or two overcards and six outs to make top pair. You do not need a PhD in Mathematics to be able to calculate pot odds. The straight draw can either be open-ended or a gutshot. Royal flush. A gutshot draw is also known as an inside straight draw because the missing card is inside the four cards that a player holds. Then you will pay $5 to get a chance of winning $30. four outs such as 7-8 on a 4-5-X flop) generally does not have a good chance of winning and should be played only in very specific conditions. We have 4 outs to hit our gutshot, which according to our ‘rule of four and two’ means that we have around 8% chance to complete our straight draw on the turn. In two deck poker, your odds of hitting a flush would be 22% (22/99= 22). However, the implied odds for a double gutshot are higher than those for the regular open ended straight draw. Odds of catching the open-ended Straight Flush on. In fact, the odds of hitting a gutshot draw on the turn are around 8. 2 to 1. Gutshots are less popularly referred to as inside straight draws, middle-pin straight draws, and bellybuster straight draws. 2003, Matthew Hilger, Internet Texas Hold'em, →ISBN, page 190: Whenever you decide to draw to a gut-shot. It hits slightly more often going from turn to river. To call a bet here we’d need the pot to be a little bigger or our opponents bet to be a little lower. Double Gutshot - Two inside straight draws on any given hand. Turn%/Odds. Chances of making your straight by the. When a pair flops, there is an increased chance that you will run into. Inside Straight Draw (aka ‘Gutshot’): When you have one way to complete a straight. Step 1: Enter your odds. How Often Does an Inside Straight Draw Hit by the Turn in Poker? Going from flop to turn in Hold’em an inside straight draw will hit around 8. Board: A♦ 5♣ 6♥. 5% chance of completing the straight on either the turn or river (5. 1%. "Odds for" winning: 1/12 or 1:12 (reduced from 4:48) "Odds against" winning: 12/1 or 12:1 (reduced from 48:4) Implied Odds vs. If you miss the draw on the turn, you have an 8. To strengthen your gutshot, you can take an extra draw. Here are some key tips to keep in mind: 1. 0% —————– Total: 13. 5% of the time. ) - 4 outs;. This essentially doubles the chance of successfully completing your draw. A flush draw is the best outcome, but a backdoor flush draw will do. Try to disguise your gutshot by occasionally mixing up your play and learning to bluff. What Are The Odds of Hitting a Draw in Poker?. How Often Does an Inside Straight Draw Hit by the Turn in Poker? Going from flop to turn in Hold’em an inside straight draw will hit around 8. A queen or an eight will fill your straight. Probability of making from the turn to the river in hold’em:. An inside straight draw, also known as gutshot straight draw, needs a specific card rank to hit the board in order to complete a straight. 51% (odds of -1,075. 1%Okay, so you know how to work out the odds for hitting a flush draw or a straight draw. 7% in percentage terms. If you have 8-9 and the flop is A-5-6, you will make a straight if a 7 comes on the turn or the river. If you’ve got the aforementioned flush draw, your odds of winning the hand are somewhere around 35. In this hand you have a gutshot straight draw and a flush draw. Your chance of being dealt a five-card royal flush on the initial deal is a minuscule 0. I think you would have 8 outs of hitting the turn. Notice it flops top pair 1% of the time and flops second-third pair 28% of the time. Naturally, this makes the gutshot straight more complex to deal with. 7 chance of making your hand on either the turn or river 1. The gutshot Royal Flush draw and the open-ended Royal Flush draw. Pot odds: 2:1. 4% chance of making this hand. Everyone folds to you on the button. resulting in odds of roughly 0. A “gutshot” is another term for “inside straight draw,” one of the types of draws that online poker players catch. Open-ended straight draw: 8: 31. You’re holding a disguised straight draw in position on the flop (7s6s on a Ts 8d 4c board) and your sticky opponent bets $50 into a pot of $50. Has cool little bar graphs. So my "quick calc" for a flush draw is: "9 outs" * "2% per card" twice (because you add the turn and river) which is 18 + 18 or 36%. On the river, 17. 1rst got around 900. There are four unseen 10 ♠ 10 ♣ 10 ♥ 10 ♦ . 47% (16%) 8. When you flop a gutshot straight draw, you have a 16. You need either a Seven or a Ten to complete your draw (8 outs total). Backdoor straight draw with overcards on the flop Backdoor gutshot straight draw Example of a backdoor gutshot straight draw on the flop. From A-Game to Zuke, the PokerZone Dictionary represents. So in order to call a gut shot straight draw on. By definition, this is at best a four-out draw (there might be fewer outs if one or more of the necessary cards is already dead). So, we likely have about 35% pot equity, assuming we will only win if we make our flush. g. ok so what im confused about is the flush draw odds concept. Bowstring: Elastic String or Polymer String. This time, the flop is the 9 of spades, 6 of clubs, and ace of hearts. What are the odds of being dealt aces? You will be dealt aces 6/1326 times preflop, which equates to 0. 52 in the. 2:1. A simple example is having a combination of T8JQ and hitting 9 on the. Gutshot Straight. It is an “inside” or “middle” straight draw, which means that if the player is to complete the straight, a card must be hit on the inside, or in the middle. The expected number of hands with a. The odds on a gutshot straight draw are lower than on a standard straight draw. Standard Equity Post-Flop in No-Limit Hold’em. The poker hand rankings are: 1. These draws improve to a flush or straight on the river about 1 time in 3. Either the 3's or the 7's. Altogether there are 1,776 ops giving the player an open-ended straight draw. Let’s quickly look at the difference between a big suited connectors, like JTs and a small one like 54s. You Are Priced out of Your Draw. So in order to call a gut shot straight draw on. 37 votes, 58 comments. For most straight draws you’ve to just take care to calculate the number of safe outs correctly. A five-card combination that forms two different inside straight draws; a hand including three consecutive cards, the card two ranks higher than the top card of those three, and the card two ranks lower than the bottom card of those three; doubel belly buster. 3%) Open Ended Straight Draw 9. g. For the inside straight draw, you’ll always have four outs, so: Chances of making your straight on the turn: 4 * 2 = 8%. You have a gutshot straight draw with 4 outs. 4% threat of coming in at the flop (3. 18-to-1 odds against). This is known as a gut shot. So thats a 32% chance of hitting them both by the river. 08% for either an open-ended or inside straight draw. You are dealt King of clubs (Kc) and Queen of clubs (Qc). A straight draw is when you have four of the five cards needed to make a straight. This draw is also the most probably way to make the highest ranked made hand in poker: the straight flush. You evaluate your draw and play according to odds and outs. Gutshot or Inside Straight Draw – 4 Outs. Four card flush draw on the flop: 35%. Considering Reverse Implied Odds. Flush Draw + Open Ended Straight Draw: 32. 64%: 8. An example would be 87 on an AT6 board. Because straight draws including an ace only have. Your bet size should give incorrect pot odds to your opponent who has a straight draw. 5%, or 10. 653 = 65. Also, if any of them has a 89 (off or suited), they have a gutshot straight draw. Your opponent could hit a higher straight, which would cost you money. A gutshot is a straight draw that has 4 outs to improve. For example, if you have 45 out of 268, you have a double gutshot. Gutshot Straight Draw + Flush Draw: 11: Approximately 41%: Approximately 21%: Approximately 21%:What are the odds of hitting a gutshot straight on the river? If you have a gutshot on the flop, you have an 8. via GIPHY A similar idea applies to boards containing a. With a backdoor flush draw, for example, you have 10 outs for the flush draw and then 9 outs to complete. 1% Okay, so you know how to work out the odds for hitting a flush draw or a straight draw. 1% chance to hit your flush on the turn. On the turn or the river, 31. 0%) Straight by river (seeing all 5 community cards and with 5-4 through J-10 starting hands) 11 to 1 (8. You do not need a PhD in Mathematics to be able to calculate pot odds. This is a gutshot straight. 94 to 1. The inside straight draw, or gutshot straight draw as it is often referred to, is one of the toughest draws to play. 5%/5. For example, if a player has 5-6-8-9 in their hand, they would need a 7 to complete their straight. Seeing it on the Hung Jury last week was an instant dismantle. Unlike the blinds bet, you get a better payout on low-tiered hands such as the three-of-a-kind, straight, and flush. The probability of a blackjack in a single deck game is 4*16/combin (52,2) = 64/1326. Gutshot Straight Draw. 1 : 1 8. 980%. Rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent, 9/47 = 19. 84% ; Flush draw: 10. 9%. which would mean im a 38:9 or about a 4:1. " The term is a synonym of "belly buster" or "inside. I raised to £20 and it was folded around to the limper who thought for a while before calling. 1739 or about 17. 2 percent. 7% chance (10. If an opponent has an open-ended straight, he has 8 outs. Probability of hitting from flop to the turn in hold’em: odds. 75-to-1 chance of. Your odds of hitting on the flop are as follows: Completed flush: 0. 51%. My "quick calc" is: count up my "outs", multiply by 2 and multiply by the number of chances to hit. 3% So, the odds of hitting are: 1-0. 7%/10. When you hit a straight draw, you have very good chances of beating even the best of made hands. There are 6 different ways to form a specific pair and there are 13 different pairs. For example, if you hold 9♠ 8♠ and the flop comes J♣ Q ♥ 4 ♦, you have an inside straight draw — a ten and a ten only would give you a straight. If you have a 2-card flush draw on the turn you have a 19% chance, or 4. 6%. Odds of flopping… 9 outer (flush draw): 5. With any two suited cards, you hit a flush 11/50 x 10/49 x 9/48 = 0,84% of the time (roughly) With a three-gapper like A5 or 59, you hit a straight 4/50 * 4/49 * 4/48 * 3! = 0,27% of the time. If you hit any of the 8 outs on the turn or the river, you will complete your open-ended straight draw. Would be interested to still see a mathematical answer -beyond my ability though. A gutshot flush draw is when you have four cards of the same suit, and one more card of that suit would complete your flush. Let’s see an example hand in No Limit Hold’em which has both of these. There are two in this hand, thus, a double belly buster. These hands often aren’t worth playing if there’s significant action. This means you'll complete your hand. Study with Quizlet and memorize flashcards containing terms like odds of premium hand (AA,KK,QQ,JJ,A-K suited), odds of hitting flush after the flop with a flush draw, how much does your hand improve if they are suited? and more. Open-Ended Straight Draw – 8 Outs So an open-ended straight draw will hit the river around 17% of the time, while a flush draw hits 19. Flop shows [A K 5]. You need a [Q] to complete your straight. 5%, or 10. If your opponent bets all-in for $100 in a pot of $100 and you have an open ended straight draw, you can combine the pots odds you are getting with your chances of winning the hand. 1%, on the river is 19. resulting in odds of roughly 0. The belly buster draw is typically the least valuable draw of the three. "What are the odds of hitting a backdoor flush draw? To make a backdoor-flush draw, you first need to hit your suit on the turn, which is 10/47, and then hit it again on the river, which is 9/46. 7% threat of creating your hand on both the flip and river. Double gutshots are different from open-ended straight draws because the latter requires four. There are four outs for a gutshot straight draw (5, 6, X, X, on the board, 8,9 in the hole, looking for one of the four 7s to fill the straight). The odds of hitting one of the outs for this draw on the turn are around 8. For example, if the flop was J-Q-K of clubs and the player had the 9 and 10 of clubs, the player would have an 8-in-13 (or 62%) chance of hitting their. Gutshot straight draw - 4 outs. Odds of flopping a gutshot with any unpaired starting hand = 10. A gutshot is a straight draw where one card value will give you a straight. While the odds of hitting a gutshot flush draw are not as good as the odds of hitting an open-ended straight flush draw (1 in 19,600), they are still pretty good. A combo draw is defined as a draw that has more than 12 outs. This is because you have 9 flush outs, plus 3 more straight outs - setting aside options like runner-runner for trips - for 12 outs. Odds of Hitting on the Turn or River. If you have a 2-card flush draw on the turn you have a 19% chance, or 4. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: Example: The hand 7-9-10-J is a gutshot straight draw because the missing card - an 8 - is between the lowest and highest portion of the. * The probability of flopping an open-ended straight draw (OESD) with connectors* is 9. e. The flop comes up as 5-9-10. What is a double gutshot with a hole straight? It’s a straight draw with eight outs. Kats Casino. #13. When the calculations are done in full, the odds of making your gutshot are 8. The odds of hitting a backdoor straight draw are approximately 1 in 11. 7%, or 10. A flush draw is the best outcome, but a backdoor flush draw will do. Gutshot Straight Draw: If you have an inside straight draw after the flop, the probability of completing the straight with one specific missing card on either the turn or river is 10. The poker odds of hitting a gutshot are naturally going to be more restrictive (8. A two-card gutshot straight draw. Let’s say that you are playing in a 6-max online game. 27-to-1 odds against). Your Hand: J♣ Q♦. Let's use the same hand example as above:If you include a double bellly buster, which also has 8 outs to hit a straight draw, the probability increases. Quite simply if you have a drawing hand on the flop, the odds of you hitting your made hand is the number of outs you have multiplied by 4 when you have two cards to come, or multiply them by 2 if you have one card to come. 56s is more likely to hit a straight or a flush than A5s. An inside straight draw has four outs (four cards to fill the missing internal rank). A gutshot is a straight draw where one card value will give you a straight. The odds of hitting a gutshot straight draw on the turn is 8. The odds of hitting a gutshot straight draw on the turn is 8. What defines a gutshot draw? By definition, a gutshot or belly buster is: An inside straight draw needing one specific card to complete the hand; At best a 4-out draw, sometimes fewer if a card is dead; Low odds of hitting by the river – around 8%; For example, let‘s say you hold J♥ Q♠ on a board of K♦ 10♣ 9♥. If you flop an open-ended straight draw this gives you eight outs (eight possible cards that will complete the hand), so you'll hit your hand by the river 31. These odds clearly show why open-enders and flush draws are highly desirable, while gutshots are riskier draws to take. 5-to-1 odds against) of making the straight on the river. 22 to 1, odds. Gutshot Straight Flush draws have 1 out in the deck, while open ended Straight Flush draws have 2 outs in the deck. Improve this answer. What are your outs and odds of hitting the straight? Answer: You need to have a gutshot straight draw in this hand, meaning your hand calls for a 9. 1277 or roughly 12. , you hold and the flop comes ) could be vulnerable to draws to higher straights and/or made. Open ended straight draw (8 outs): 31%. In other words, the player has two inside straight draws at once. To the untrained eye it might appear as if our hand completely missed the flop, but we have a both a backdoor straight-draw and a. First perk: Killing Wind. Inside straight draw: Còn được gọi là ‘gutshot’, cụm từ ý chỉ tình huống trong đó một người chơi giữ năm lá bài theo thứ tự liên tiếp, nhưng thiếu một lá. You have eight outs (~33% chance) to make a straight, which is often a hand worth three streets of value. Odds of hitting an open-ended Straight draw from flop to turn =. If you are going to play a gut shot straight draw then you should be getting at least 8:1 on your money to justify that play. This gives us:How to Use Our Betting Odds Calculator. I have 8 outs so about 17% of hitting a straight on the turn, so I guess I should have bet 60 since if one opponent calls we have 60/357=16. A♠ 4♠ on 8♣ 3♠ 2♠. 1304 or roughly 13%. 0. Four cards to a straight, where the missing card would be in the middle of the straight; a hand in which four out of five cards of consecutive rank are held and in which the missing fifth card has a rank that is between the highest and lowest ranked cards that are already in hand; belly buster; gutshot straight draw; as. If you were playing $10-$20. 32%: 47. , the fourth card, are 17. Flop shows [A K 5]. Another method of converting percentage into odds is to divide the percentage chance when you don’t hit by the percentage when you do hit. e. To get a rough estimate, take the number of safe outs, x4 on the flop and x2 on the turn for the percentage equity. “Gutshot” straight draw. 2:1. Gutshot or any straight draw with one card to complete: half of the percentages of open ended straight draw. Gypsy. The turn card is the Td, and our opponent fires a $70 bet into the $77 pot. 6% . Catching it on the turn or the river is 35. g. 5:1: 1:1: OESD + pair:. You have four outs. So you need to consider your chances and bet accordingly. 80%. 5% of the time. There are. 35. If we switch over to AKs for a moment we notice that it smashes the flop just a hair more often at 4. In this draw, either a five or a ten will make a straight. 4%: Chance of completing a gutshot straight draw: 1. A straight flush is a good poker hand in which five of the same rank cards are in order. An example of a double gut shot draw would be 7♠ 6♣ 9♥ 5♣ 3♦. Here's how calculate pot odds from the flop: Take how many outs you have to hit your hand (usually 8 for an open ended straight draw and 9 for a flush draw), and multiply those outs by 2 to find what % of the time the draw will come by the turn and by 4 to find the odds by the river. Straight and flush draw - 15 outs. Your Hand: 7♥ 9♣. Straight (for connected cards 5-4 through J-10 including straight flushes) 76 to 1 (1. In contrast when. In practice, it’s more than fine to round this up to 100% (unless you’re against an aggressive player who will attack your check back range when the straight completes). For rough odds to hit, you multiply this number by 4 with the turn and river left (or 2 with just river) - so 48%+ chance to hit your outs. Of course, the odds of hitting a double gutshot draw go up if there are more cards of the same suit on the board. 39% of the time. Open ended straight hitting by the river: 2:1; Gutshot straight draw hit by the river: 5:1; Pocket pair improving to set by river: 10:1; Going runner runner for a flush: 23:1; Going runner runner for. For example, if a player has 6-7-9-10, they have two different gutshot draws: one for an 8 and one for a 5. Inside Straight Draw | Number of Outs – 4. If you have a. Board: J♣ 10♥ 8♠. The second factor is the number of cards of the same suit on the board. If calling an all-in on the flop, it's ~one out (twice), because it's ~4% to hit. Consider the following hands in your range: A ♦ 3 ♦ and T ♦ 3 ♦. Hitting a flush draw (i. 091 that the player ops an open-ended straight draw. In poker, a gutshot straight draw occurs when a player has four consecutive cards, missing one in the middle to complete the straight. The odds of hitting a gutshot straight draw on the turn is 8. Well. Examples of the 2/4 rule. Read this WPT Global guide to making the most of one of poker's trickiest hands, the troublesome gut shot straight draw. 0213 or roughly 2. 00099893. Odds of hitting a gutshot from flop to turn = 4/47 = 0. But even if the board was rainbow (rather than all spades), you're drawing to a one-card sucker end of a straight. Inside Straight Draw (aka ‘Gutshot’): When you have one way to complete a straight. You also have a backdoor straight draw, as you could hit two consecutive cards (a queen and a ten) to make a straight. The higher the top card of the straight, the more valuable the straight draw. 5% Gutshot Straight: Catching your card on the turn, 8. In this case, you should be more inclined to check-raise the higher flush draw (A ♦ 3 ♦) than the lower flush draw (T ♦ 3 ♦). Everyone folds to you on the button. If you miss the draw on the turn, you have an 8. straight or flush draw often don't have the correct expressed pot odds to profitably call a bet to see if they'll hit the draw on the turn or river. We have 4 outs to hit our gutshot, which according to our ‘rule of four and two’ means that we have around 8% chance to. The exact odds of hitting a royal flush in video poker depend on the game. QJT8 oder 8754) Offener Straight-Draw (OESD): 4 Karten in Reihe oder. Calculating the odds of royal flush for Texas Hold’em requires different mathematics, as Texas Hold’em hands are made by choosing the best five-card hand out of seven total cards. After completing the calculations. The main reasons for this. 18-to-1 odds against). With 54s notice that it still smashes the flop 5. You'll want to use the above tables together to make +EV decisions. You can reverse things by working out the probability of not hitting a gutshot on the turn: What defines a gutshot draw? By definition, a gutshot or belly buster is: An inside straight draw needing one specific card to complete the hand; At best a 4-out draw, sometimes fewer if a card is dead; Low odds of hitting by the river – around 8%; For example, let‘s say you hold J♥ Q♠ on a board of K♦ 10♣ 9♥. 5%, or 10. 3-4-6-7 requiring a five. What are the odds of hitting a gutshot straight draw? If you have a gutshot on the flop, you have an 8. It is a term used to describe a situation where a player is hoping to complete a straight but needs one specific card in the middle of the sequence. There are gutshot straights made from the outside: A-2-3. 7%A Double Gutshot (or Belly Buster) is a straight draw that does not include consecutive cards and can be completed by two different rank cards. 0%. The backdoor flush draw gives us some additional equity (around 4%), but we need two cards to complete it. So i guess for your example of hitting the straight. His equity on the flop waiting for the turn is 32% (8 outs X 4). 75-to-1, while. Straight - A standard open-ended straight draw with more outs. With a gutshot straight plus flush combo draw, you have a. 02% or. Gutshot Straight - A straight, made by hitting the only ranked card possible (inside draw) which would complete a straight for that player. In such a case the following formula can be used:A straight completed from the outside by one of two possible cards. Your Hand: 7♥ 9♣. A straight made by hitting an "inside" card. Question about flush draw odds, and odds in general. Example: if you hold 22 and the flop does not contain a 2, the odds of hitting a 2 on the turn is 22:1 (4%). Takedown request View complete answer on upswingpoker. Looking for an easy poker odds chart to make theseOdds of completing our draw: 4. 94% for suited connectors and 10. 36%: 30%: Odds to hit open-end straight. 27-to-1 odds against). If you have an open-ended straight draw you now have 16 outs instead of 8- In 1 deck poker, your odds of hitting a straight on the next card is 17% (8 outs divided by 47 cards left in the deck= 19). Odds of Making a Gutshot Straight: 16%: 8%: Odds of Making a Full House: 34%: 20%: Example of Using both Cheat Sheets Combined. Poker Odds. Some examples of combo draws: a pair and an open-ended straight draw (13 outs against an overpair) a pair and a flush draw (14 outs) gut-shot straight flush draw (12 outs)The odds of completing your straight by the river are slightly worse than 2 to 1, so you’ll hit your straight roughly 1 in 3 times. If the flop is a pass over, you’ve got a 23. You hold 7 8 and the flop comes 9 10 2 where any Jack would make you a straight. 5%. Second perk: Kill Clip or Successful Warm-Up. 75-to-1 odds against. A double gutshot occurs when a player has two different gutshot draws in the same hand. 9 to 1 (17. 57%, I figure that you would just add them together and get 38. The chances of the third flop card missing you is 44-in-48. For example, if you have the 7, 8, 9, and. Open ended straight flush draw: Straight/Flush/Pair: 21: 72. 4%) Straight by river (from open. Odds of hitting from flop to turn. Gutshot Straight Draw Strategies. 4 straight cards, need one on either end to hit on turn or river) 31. 5% chance of making a straight on the turn and a 16. An 11-out hand has a 23.